This speech seems to have much to commend it:
C-SPAN: Anthony Cordesman, CSIS, on "Iraq: Security & Development"
Anthony Cordesman, CSIS Arleigh Burke Chair in Strategy talks about "Iraq: Security and Development."
His assessment has the sound of reality. For his conclusions and analysis, you'll have to listen to the speech, but to give you a minor example, he makes a distinction between "Wahaabi" and "Neo-Salafi"--but not in the way that it is usually done; he actually says that even the Saudis aren't really ideologically Wahabi, but Neo-Salafi.